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Lies, damned lies, and statistics - The Titfield Thunderbolt
Heisenberg might have stayed here
qatsi
qatsi
Lies, damned lies, and statistics
It's remarkable that, for all the unevenness of our electoral system, so many commentators have expressed the view (with which I concur) that we have got the Government that we, as a nation, wanted. The aggregation of votes at constituency level generally serves to disenfranchise those not voting for either of the top two candidates (though there are some three-way marginals); yet when aggregated over the nation, although it's not proportional, it probably is in line with the general mood of the country.

I particularly liked Anthony King's observation on an early result that the Lab-Con swing was a "quirk of arithmetic", which was true: the number of Conservative votes in the constituency was fairly static.

Ironically, I suspect it may be best for Labour if Blair goes later rather than sooner; if he hands over to Gordon Brown too soon, any honeymoon period will expire long before the next election. I see Howard has indicated he's throwing in the towel, too: relatively speaking I'm a Theresa May fan (more than likely because of her "nasty party" speech, which may not be the best of reasons); my stomach turns at the thought of David Davies.

It's disappointing round here that the Lib Dems lost Newbury and Guildford, and Labour lost Reading East, to the Conservatives; Martin Salter in Reading West is now surrounded in a big blue ocean. My vote in Wokingham feels unusually pyrrhic with a Lib Dem change of "0.0%", according to the BBC. I'm disappointed that George Galloway got in, though I do think there is a role for non-"party" candidates: I can't respect (yes, I know it's a bad pun) him personally for showering Saddam Hussein with all those platitudes years ago. I see that Northern Ireland continues its polarisation, with David Trimble falling. But on the plus side, it was good to see Kilroy get a good beating; and my parents did their duty in "decapitating" Tim Collins in Westmorland and Lonsdale.

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